Covid-19疫情意味著各國實際上不得不關閉，許多政府對數十億人的日常生活實施了限制性措施。它在能源市場上造成了前所未有的需求衝擊，陸上和海上的存儲空間迅速被裝滿。迄今為止，全世界已有240萬人感染冠狀病毒，死亡165257 人，根據約翰·霍普金斯大學（Johns Hopkins University）整理的數據。TankerTrackers.com的創始人Samir Madani告訴CNBC的“ Capital Connection”：“當然，向前看，我們將不得不看到美國的產量大幅下降才能將其推高一點。”在星期一。馬達尼說：
“美國能源對全球能源安全非常重要……因為如果不是美國能源，那麼價格將會高出很多。”
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US oil prices tumbled to their lowest level in more than 21 years on Monday, with crude storage facilities filling rapidly as the coronavirus pandemic continues to crush demand. The May contract of US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures fell to $12.43 a barrel on Monday , down more than 31%. That's its lowest level since March 4, 1999. The May contract of WTI is set to expire on Tuesday, with the June contract of WTI last trading at $23.58 a barrel, almost 6% lower. Futures contracts typically converge with spot prices as they near expiry.Meanwhile, international benchmark Brent crude stood at $26.63 on Monday, around 5% lower for the session.It comes amid heightened concern that the volume of oil held in US storage is rising sharply, with the coronavirus crisis compounding the problem by dramatically reducing consumption.
“The current forward crude oil curves for Brent and WTI are now in very deep contango, but the contango is also very front-loaded,” Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB , told CNBC via email. A contango market implies oil traders believe crude prices will rally in the future, encouraging them to store oil now and to sell at a later date. “The curves are saying we have a big problem with the storage of oil right now,” Schieldrop said, noting the general market view seemed to be that the global economic trough and the oil demand trough would be April 2020. In the second half the year, he continued, the problem of storage capacity should “vanish rapidly” because oil demand is expected to rebound strongly, while inventories will draw down sharply.“This is why the Brent crude average oil price for 2021 is holding up so well at $40 a barrel,” Schieldrop added.
'Without any sort of hope'
Earlier this month, analysts at Goldman Sachs warned that the coronavirus shock was “extremely negative for oil prices and is sending landlocked crude prices into negative territory.” The US investment bank said it expected waterborne crudes like Brent to be far more insulated from the coronavirus shock, with prices likely to remain near cash costs of $20 a barrel — albeit with temporary spikes below. Brent is priced on an island in the North Sea roughly 500 meters from the water, where tanker storage is accessible. In contrast, WTI is landlocked and 500 miles from water. “This illustrates an important point,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a research note. They argued waterborne crudes were likely to be “better positioned” than landlocked price grades — like crude oils in the US,Canada and Russia — because they had comparatively easy access to tanker storage. “The US situation is quite dire,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ , told CNBC's “Squawk Box” on Monday. “Clearly, being a relatively landlocked market there , we are seeing real pressure on storage as a consequence of the collapse in demand,” Hynes continued. “Without any sort of hope I suppose, at least over the next month about that easing up. I think prices are going to remain under pressure .”at least over the next month about that easing up. I think prices are going to remain under pressure.”at least over the next month about that easing up. I think prices are going to remain under pressure.”
The Covid-19 outbreak has meant countries have effectively had to shut down, with many governments imposing restrictive measures on the daily lives of billions of people. It has created an unprecedented demand shock in energy markets, with storage space – both onshore and offshore – quickly filling up. To date, more than 2.4 million people have contracted the coronavirus worldwide, with 165,257 deaths , according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. “Going forward, of course, we are going to have to see a lot of declines in production in the US in order to push this thing a little bit higher,” Samir Madani, founder of TankerTrackers.com, told CNBC's “Capital Connection” on Monday. “US energy is very important for global energy security … because if it wasn' t for US energy then prices would be a whole lot higher,” Madani said.
